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xenotux 3 days ago

> IMHO this is going to be part of a broader trend where advancements in AI and robotics nullify any comparative advantages low wage countries had.

Then why hasn't it yet? In fact, some lower-wage countries such as China are on the forefront of industrial automation?

I think the bottom line is that many Western countries went out of their way to make manufacturing - automated or not - very expensive and time-consuming to get off the ground. Robots don't necessarily change that if you still need to buy land, get all the permits, if construction costs many times more, and if your ongoing costs (energy, materials, lawyers, etc) are high.

We might discover that AI capacity is easier to grow in these markets too.

mensetmanusman 3 days ago | parent | next [-]

Hard to honestly say if China is low wage. On one hand, their wages have risen as the work force has shrunk now for a few years and tasks are being outsourced to other countries. On the other hand, their currency is pegged meaning that the earning power of the workers should be much higher so that they can afford the things they are making and transition to a consumer driven economy.

datavirtue 3 days ago | parent [-]

They are very much devaluing their currency. This is all the rage and I expect a currency devaluation race as the US tries to deal with crushing government liabilities.

nradov 2 days ago | parent [-]

It's not just China and the USA. Pretty much all countries want to devalue their currency to improve their balance of trade in a race to the bottom. Logically not everyone can win the race.

mensetmanusman 2 days ago | parent [-]

Someone needs to figure out the best hack for what to do with high value currency.

chowchowchow 2 days ago | parent [-]

Isn’t it to sell home currency denominated debt…?

alecco 3 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> Then why hasn't it yet?

Because the current companies are behind the curve. Most of finance still runs on Excel. A lot of other things, too. AI doesn't add much to that. But the new wave of Tech-first companies now have the upper hand since the massive headcount is no longer such an advantage.

This is why Big Tech is doing layoffs. They are scared. But the traditional companies would need to redo the whole business and that is unlikely to happen. Not with the MBAs and Boomers running the board. So they are doing the old stupid things they know, like cutting costs by offshoring everything they can and abusing visas. They end up losing knowledgeable people who could've turned the ship around, the remaining employees become apathetic/lazy, and brand loyalty sinks to the bottom. See how S&P 500 - top 10 is flat or dumping.

cicko 3 days ago | parent [-]

>They end up losing knowledgeable people who could've turned the ship around, the remaining employees become apathetic/lazy, and brand loyalty sinks to the bottom

Right. And AI is here to fix that!

tempodox 3 days ago | parent | prev [-]

> We might discover that AI capacity is easier to grow in these markets too.

If only because someone else has to build all the nuclear reactors that supply the data centers with electricity. /s