>But as its capabilities improve, what do displaced humans transition to?

IF there is intellectual/office work that remains complex enough to not be tackled by AI, we compete for those. Manual labor takes the rest.

Perhaps that’s the shift we’ll see: nowadays the guy piling up bricks makes a tenth of the architects’ salary, that relation might invert.

And the indirect effects of a society that values intellectual work less are really scary if you start to explore the chain of cause and effect.

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ACCount37 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Have you noticed that there are a lot of companies now that are trying to build advanced AI-driven robots? This is not a coincidence.

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azan_ 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

The relation won’t invert because it’s very easy and quick to train guy pilling up bricks while training architect is slow and hard. If low skilled jobs will pay much better than high skilled then people will just change their job.

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kace91 4 days ago | parent [-]

That’s only true as long as the technical difficulties aren’t covered by tech.

Think of a world where software engineering itself is handled relatively well by the llm and the job of the engineer becomes just collecting business requirements and checking they’re correctly addressed.

In that world the limit for scarcity might be less in the difficulty of training and more in the willingness to bend your back in the sun for hours vs comfortably writing prompts in an air conditioned room.

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azan_ 4 days ago | parent [-]

Right now there are enough people willing to bend their back in the sun for hours that their salaries are much lower than these of engineers. Do you think that for some reason supply of these people will drop with higher wages and much lower employment opportunities in office jobs? I highly doubt it.

	▲	kace91 4 days ago \| parent [-]
		My argument is not that those people’s salaries will go up until overtaking the engineers’. It’s the opposite, that the value of office/intellectual work will tank, while manual work remains stable. Lower barrier of entry for intelectual work if a position even needs to be covered, work conditions much more comfortable.