> That means it could be 50%.

And it could be 30, but you said for sure it is over 40.

> "Exit” polls in general aren’t reliable, especially with the mail in voting.

That's why all of them also do phone interviews, and that's how they're consistent with each other.

> Most of those folks are hispanic or asian.

We're talking about Asians. They are not even close to comprising most naturalized citizens.

> Jamaica, which has a heavy Bangladeshi population, shifted from D+83 to D+31 (which would mean roughly 35% Trump).

35 is less than 40.