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nlawalker 5 days ago

> Imagine a world where high quality landscaping exists for the average person. And this is made possible because we'll live in a world where the equivalent of today's uber driver owns a team of gardening androids.

I think it's going to be the other way around. It's looking like automation of dynamic physical capability is going to be the very last thing we figure out; what we're going to get first is teams of lower-skilled human workers directed largely by jobsite AI. By the time the robots get there, they're not going to need a human watching them.

danielbln 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

Looking at the advancements in low cost flexible robotics I'm not sure I share that sentiment. Plus the LLM craze is fueling generalist advancement in robotics as well. I'd say we'll see physical labor displacement within a decade tops.

SirHumphrey 4 days ago | parent [-]

Kinematics is deceptively hard and at least evolutionary took a lot longer to develop than language. Low wage physical labor seems easy only because humans are naturally very good at it, and this took millions of years to develop.

The number of edge cases when you are dealing with physical world is several order of magnitudes higher than when dealing with text only and the spacial reasoning capabilities of the current crop of MLLMs are not nearly as good at it as required. And this doesn't even take in to account that now you are dealing with hardware and hardware is expensive. Expensive enough, that even on the manufacturing lines (a more predictable environment than let's say landscaping) automation sometimes doesn't make economic sense.

citizenpaul 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Im reminded of something I read years ago that said something like jobs are now above or below the API. I think now its jobs will be above or below the AI.