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CafeRacer 4 days ago

I'd predict a one person unicorn company potentionally possible, but this will be an inflated valuation company backed by someone, who is willing to prove a point. Not a company that delivers a great product and can be sustainable in the long run.

Purely from the operational perspective, you need to handle support, you need to handle billing, to handle lawsuits, to handle infrastructure, to handle incidents... and still have a good idea of what's going on.

So no, not sure it's happening.

BoorishBears 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

I agree with the article that it won't happen because it's just natural to hire your way out of some pain.

You'd need someone who cares enough to make a point to a very niche community but doesn't care about the product enough to hire, and I think the two circles don't overlap.

... but if it did happen I expect it'd be a NSFW AI chatbot/companion, not VC-backable (or at least not openly)

There are some people building those that don't want or care about building the best product: they've realized if you get the cheapest most heavily quanitzed model around to produce NSFW content and tell a lonely person they're loved, they'll give you increasing amounts of money.

crazygringo 4 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

> but this will be an inflated valuation company backed by someone, who is willing to prove a point.

People don't generally spend $1B to prove a point.

They'll spend it on a network of users that is genuinely that valuable though. That's what Zuck did in dropping $1B on Insta.

And it seems entirely possible that if Insta were built today, it could be done with a single person.

mlhpdx 4 days ago | parent [-]

Oh wow, that's simply not true. Many investors have spent more than that to prove a point. Sometimes in one place, sometimes over many places and years.

crazygringo 4 days ago | parent [-]

Ok, who?

Who has invested $1B+ in something they expected would lose money just to "prove a point"? And what was the point?

And Musk buying Twitter doesn't count because he was forced to buy it after it became clear he would lose money. He did everything he could to get out of it.

CafeRacer 4 days ago | parent [-]

Ok, so you're saying that there were not a single 1B+ valuation company out there that failed?

crazygringo 3 days ago | parent [-]

No, that has nothing to do at all with anything I said.

mrkramer 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Cryptocurrency like Bitcoin can probably be made by LLM so if you have a good idea for cryptocurrency or some crypto token and you can vibe code it with LLM, perhaps it can reach a $1bn market cap.

ttoinou 4 days ago | parent | next [-]

One bug and the value crashes to 0 though

dgrcode 4 days ago | parent [-]

We're definitely closer to the one-person billion dollar company than bug free vibe coded software.

CafeRacer 4 days ago | parent | prev [-]

I mean... you can just copy/paste BTC or ETH software, name it differently... or get ERC721 and name it something.

Software itself will not make people use it.