> If in 2022 I’d tried to convince AI skeptics that in three years we might have tools on the level of Claude Code, I’m sure I’d have heard everyone say it would be impossible because “it’s just a statistical model.”

We already had these coding models in 2022, they were already pattern matching engines with variables back then, all your imagination needed to do to go from that to Claude code today is to give it more code examples and make it bigger.

They still can't replace even a junior engineers ability to navigate tasks over even short periods of time, just like back then they need constant handholding to get anything done. So I don't see what changed except the model being larger with more examples and therefore you can get larger chunks of coherent code out of them.