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GianFabien 7 days ago

There's only two reasons to buy stocks:

  1) for future cashflows (aka dividends) derived from net profits.

  2) to on-sell to somebody willing to pay even more.
When option (2) is no longer feasible, the bubble pops and (1) resets the prices to some multiple of dividends. Economics 101.
dehrmann 7 days ago | parent | next [-]

> ...resets the prices to some multiple of dividends

But wouldn't you want to pay more for a company that has a history of revenue and income growth than one in a declining industry? And you have to look at assets on the company's books; you're not just buying a company, you're buying a share of what it owns. What if it has no income, but you think there's a 10% chance it'll be printing money in 5 years?

That's why prices won't naively reset to a multiple of ~~dividends~~ income (see the dividend irrelevance theory) across the board. Someone will always put a company's income in context.

heathrow83829 7 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

yes, but there will always be a #2 with QE being normalized now.

Nition 7 days ago | parent | prev [-]

Just like land :)