It would need a very big crash, this is 50 years of price increases - https://www.realestatebusiness.com.au/industry/29004-50-year...

It's the much quoted - boomers pulling up the ladder after them in action. In the oz market new home buyers can't compete with investors that are pushing up prices.

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sarchertech 3 days ago | parent [-]

From the peak in 2006 to the lowest point in 2012 the US we saw housing price drops of close to 1/3.

In the areas that rose the most, they dropped 50%.

Based on that article you linked a 50% drop in the hottest markets wouldn’t bring price to income ratios down to 1975 but it would be kinda close.

Especially when you consider house sizes now vs then.

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chadcmulligan 3 days ago | parent [-]

Seems we're talking about different markets - the 2007/2008 crash didn't really change prices here, just slowed growth. There seems no crash in site here. https://creditmediation.com.au/news/2024/10/10/the-rise-and-...

	▲	sarchertech 2 days ago \| parent [-]
		According to that article government stimulus propped up property prices. Maybe there’s something unique to the Australian market that justifies 30 years of rising prices with no corrections. Or maybe you’re overdue for a massive bust.