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ipnon 2 days ago

Tao’s commentary is more practical and insightful than all of the “rationalist” doomers put together.

jmmcd 2 days ago | parent | next [-]

(a) no it's not

(b) your comment is miles off-topic, as he is not addressing doom in any sense

Quekid5 2 days ago | parent | prev | next [-]

That seems like a low bar :)

ipnon 2 days ago | parent [-]

My priors do not allow the existence of bars. Your move.

tempodox a day ago | parent [-]

You would have felt right at home in the time of the Prohibition.

ks2048 2 days ago | parent | prev [-]

I agree about Tao in general, but here,

> AI technology is now rapidly approaching the point of transition from qualitative to quantitative achievement.

I don't get it. The whole history of deep learning was driven by quantitative achievement on benchmarks.

I guess the rest of the post is about adding emphasis on costs in addition to overall performance. But, I don't see how that is a shift from qualitative to quantitative.

raincole 2 days ago | parent [-]

He means people in this AI hype trend mostly focused on "now AI can do a task that was impossible mere 5 years ago", but we will gradually change our perception of AI to "how much energy/hardware cost to complete this task and does it really benefit us."

(My interpretation, obviously)