| ▲ | Certhas 2 days ago | |
If I have a coin that shows tails 55% of the time, then there still is a 45% chance that heads wins. If heads and tails play many games against each other, then the probability for tails to win the overall "tournament" goes to 1. But football is a sport of relatively few games in cup tournaments and low scores (this relatively high variance). This is very conducive to upsets even if we assume perfectly independent probabilities. Compare to Basketball play offs, with best of 7 Series and on the order of 100 "goals" per game. That's maybe why in football the league title is more prestigious than the cups, while in basketball the regular season is not considered anywhere near as important as the play offs. | ||
| ▲ | smcl 2 days ago | parent [-] | |
> That's maybe why in football the league title is more prestigious than the cups Tell that to supporters of Scottish Cup Winners 2024/25 Aberdeen FC (I am a supporter of Scottish Cup Winners 2024/25 Aberdeen FC) :D | ||