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roughly 18 hours ago

Social networks finding profitability via advertising is what created the entire problem space of social media - the algorithmic timelines, the gaming, the dopamine circus, the depression, everything negative that’s come from social media has come from the revenue model, so yes, I think it’s worth being concerned about how LLMs make money, not because I’m worried they won’t, because I’m worried they Will.

milesvp 17 hours ago | parent | next [-]

I think this can't be understated. It also destroyed search. I listened to a podcast a few years ago with an early googler who talked about this very precipice in early google days. They did a lot of testing, and a lot of modeling of people's valuation of search. They figured that the average person got something like $50/yr of value out of search (I can't remember the exact number, I hope I'm not off by an order of magnitude). And that was the most they could ever realistically charge. Meanwhile, advertising for just Q4 was like 10 times the value. It meant that they knew that advertising on the platform was inevitable. They also acknowledged that it would lead to the very problem that Brin and Page wrote about in their seminal paper on search.

I see LLMs inevitably leading to the same place. There will undoubtedly be advertising baked into the models. It is too strong a financial incentive. I can only hope that an open source alternative will at least allow for a hobbled version to consume.

edit: I think this was the podcast https://freakonomics.com/podcast/is-google-getting-worse/

SJC_Hacker 13 hours ago | parent [-]

This is an interesting take - is my "attention" really worth several thousand a year? In that my purchasing decisions being influenced by advertising to that degree that someone is literally paying someone else for my attention ...

I wonder if instead, could I sell my "attention" instead of others profitting of it?

lymbo 10 hours ago | parent [-]

Yes, but your attention rapidly loses value the more that your subsequent behavior misaligns with the buyer’s desires. In other words, the ability to target unsuspecting, idle minds far exceeds the value of a willing and conscious attention seller.

socalgal2 14 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Social networks will have all of those effects without any effort by the platform itself because the person with more followers has more influence so the people on the platform will do all they can to get more.

I'm not excusing the platforms for bad algorithms. Rather, I believe it's naive to think that, but for the behavior of the platform itself that things would be great and rosy.

No, they won't. The fact that nearly every person in the world can mass communicate to nearly every other person in the world is the core issue. It is not platform design.

Centigonal 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

oh, I 100% agree with this. The way the social web was monetized is the root of a lot of evil. With AI, we have an opportunity to learn from the past. I think a lesson here is "don't wait to think critically about the societal consequences of the next Big Tech Thing's business model because you have doubts about its profitability or unit economics."