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roxolotl 11 hours ago

Timelines are relevant though. Inevitability is only a useful proposition if the timeline is constrained. It is inevitable that the earth will be swallowed by the sun but rightfully no one gives a shit. I think most people, even the author of this piece, aside from those who believe there's something fundamental about human intelligence that isn't reproducible, would say AI is inevitable on a long enough timeline. The arguments being made though are that AI is inevitable in the short term. Is 12 years short term? Maybe?

Regardless though when we break down the timelines we start to enable useful conversations. It's one thing to argue with a frame of "over X period of time Y will happen". It's another to say "it's inevitable so get on board". This piece, myself, and many others are frustrated by the latter.