A few things that are here:

  - LLMs
  - Cryptocurrencies
  - Mobile phones

The inevitabilism argument is that cryptocurrencies were just as hyped a few years ago as LLMs are now, and they're much less here now. So if you have an objection to LLMs being hyped and not wanting to use them, there's a real case they may slide into the background as a curious gimmick, like cryptocurrencies.

LLMs won't have the same fate as cryptocurrencies.

They're immediately useful to a lot of people, unlike cryptocurrencies.

More likely: When VC needs to capture back the money, and subscriptions go to their real level, we'll see 1) very expensive subscriptions for those who vibe, and 2) cheaper models filled with ads for the plebs, embedded into search engines, help desk software, and refrigerators.

LLMs do share one sad aspect with cryptocurrencies on account of being a hype: When the hype settles, because of economic reality, they'll feel shittier because we get the version we can afford: The LLM that replaces a human service worker whose effort was already at rock bottom. The cryptocurrency that resembles a slot machine.

In a utopia that wasn't run by VC money, taking any idea to an extreme for some sustainable reason other than a 10-year value capture plan, we might see some beautiful adoption into society.

Crypto was absolutely not where LLM is now. It's historical revisionism.