Not sure how much we can trust this poll, but it's already happening:

https://today.yougov.com/topics/international/survey-results...

> Do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. bombing nuclear sites in Iran?

Republicans say:

    Strongly approve 46%
    Somewhat approve 22%
    Somewhat disapprove 5%
    Strongly disapprove 8%
    Not sure 18%

▲ ExaltedPunt 9 hours ago | parent [-]

I don't trust YouGov polls. A few years ago everyone of their polls on English Politics came out at 71% vs 29%, which means they were sampling the same people repeatedly.

Also his base are a different group of people from Republicans, they are often a subset of Republicans.

You can go on Twitter, Youtube or any comment section and they are all saying "MAGA is dead", "I didn't vote for this" or some sort of signalling they are against a war with Iran.

▲

yongjik 7 hours ago | parent [-]

I'm willing to buy that YouGov is a low quality poll, but you can't be suggesting twitter and youtube comment sections as a better alternative. Half of those comments might not even be human.

	▲	ExaltedPunt 5 hours ago \| parent [-]
		It is pretty easy to spot botted accounts both on YouTube and Twitter. I generally try to judge the sentiment and the momentum. I will admit I am a bit of a politico, I see myself as the equivalent of someone betting on horses or dogs. Generally I do the following: - It is pretty easy to spot botted accounts both on YouTube and Twitter. Especially on YouTube. You will typically get a lot of real sounding names and real looking avatars that almost say exactly the same thing, along with a fake conversation as replies. These bots aren't using advanced AI. They can be bought quite cheaply actually. - I also talk to a lot of people both in left and right leaning Discord groups. The consensus to anyone that isn't a complete die-hard is "MAGA has jumped the shark". - There are lower level commentators who represent maybe few tens of thousands of people. Some of these are political operative, some of these are grifters, others are genuine people that have moved towards nationalist politics over time. I've been around these spaces long enough to know the usernames, the characters and accounts of those that follow them. I appreciate none of this is scientific. However, I will take that over a poll any-day of the week and has been more consistent IME than polling (which is well known to be skewed depending on who is doing it). I've been not paying attention to any of it recently because quite honestly I've burned out on it and instead I am having a break from it.