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alkonaut 9 hours ago

The lack of appetite in the US didn’t stop this. And the lack of appetite among normal Iranians won’t matter much.

War is better for regime survival than peace. This is a country ruled by a very scared elite that isn’t held accountable for anything and whose only means of survival is creating continuous distractions from domestic failures. And it’s similar in Iran.

abcd_f 8 hours ago | parent | next [-]

> And it’s similar in Iran.

Nice.

alkonaut 6 hours ago | parent [-]

Thanks. Autocrat jokes basically writing themselves at this point.

gpt5 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

The Iranian regime has gone through serious military blows in the past and survived. Their best course of action is de-escalation and regaining domestic control.

alkonaut 8 hours ago | parent [-]

Yes I was primarily thinking about regime survival in Washington, not Teheran.

czottmann 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I wish I could upvote this more than once. Well said.

ReptileMan 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

>War is better for regime survival than peace.

Not when your adversary has air superiority and they can just kill at will the leaders and elite and not the schmucks. Israel's tactics is to kill important people and links.

alkonaut 9 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Iran doesn’t have air superiority (you probably misread which countries’ regime I meant…)

zelphirkalt 7 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

I think you need to take a look at Gaza and revise a little about Israeli tactics.

samrus 5 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

how long did it take to kill bin laden, the most wanted man on the planet? and what happened to afghanistan more than a decade after he was actually killed

this isnt software bro. its probabilistic and has high variance. even then the expected value is vietnam

youngtaff 8 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Iran will just employ asymmetrical means of defense and it will go on for years

Israel’s decades long subjugation of the Palestinian people hasn’t brought them closer to peace