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belorn 14 hours ago

Please note that the study takes the energy that the wind turbine produce and calculate how much green house gases a natural gas-fired power plant would create producing the same amount of energy.

once_inc 14 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Without having checked the study because I can't open the link on this machine: does it also take recycling of the metals into account? There's also cost in placement (which are very significant in places like the North Sea for instance), and digging up the rare earth minerals and such.

belorn 13 hours ago | parent [-]

No, no mentioning of recycling. It only look at average energy output, converts it into what a natural gas power plant would do to get the same amount, and compare it to an estimation of green house emissions from producing the turbine. They do mention creating the estimation of production emissions from 28 wind turbine LCA studies of 22 on- and 6 offshore locations, so it sound like they include placement costs, but I can't say for sure. on- and offshore turbines may not be built identically.

The fundamental question that the study ask is if the wind turbine would replace an existing natural gas-fired power plant, how much less green house gases would it produce compared to keeping the natural gas-fired power plant, and how does that compared to the production emissions of the wind turbine.

cyberax 11 hours ago | parent [-]

Why not a nuclear power plant? And how about the battery backup that the wind power needs to be reliable?

bluGill 11 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Nuclear is so expensive the only reason anyone builds them is governments wants a source of nuclear trained people around for military purposes (either bombs or navy ships).

Battery backup isn't a needed as much as many thing in the real world. Those gas power plants we already have are not going anywhere, so we still use them when there isn't much wind. Though battery is something we should be building instead (and are).

xattt 10 hours ago | parent | next [-]

Wait, what? There are also a number of countries that operate nuclear plants purely for civilian electricity production. Military applications are not the primary motivator.

Instead, civilian energy demands and energy independence are the motivating factors. Look at how Ontario leveraged its electricity supply in the early days of the trade war.

bluGill 9 hours ago | parent [-]

I said build not operate. The world situation has changed, 50 years ago nuclear power was a good idea to build. If you have a working nuclear power plant I'd generally keep operating it, and do small upgrades over time. However building a new one is something you should only do if you have military needs. (note that showing off is sometimes a military need)

xattt 3 hours ago | parent [-]

CANDU 9 and Advanced CANDU reactors were developed and built during a time when Canada had no active military nuclear program.

bluGill an hour ago | parent [-]

both cancled actording to wikipedia thus proving my point. both were started near the end of when of when making a civial nuke might make sense

mndgs 8 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

Nonsense, by that logic Lithuania should have been a #2 military power long time ago (having built nukes from a civil nuclear reactor) (it used to operate #2 largest nuclear reactor in the world, now it would be #4).

laurencerowe 7 hours ago | parent [-]

I mean Lithuania's nuclear reactors were built while it was part of the #2 military power in the world and have since been shut down.

https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/country-profil...

cyberax 10 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

In most of Europe, nuclear is cheaper than anything else but coal, natgas, and classic hydro.

When you also add the cost of battery backup.

Spain and Portugal have just experienced the first taste of that fact.

laurencerowe 7 hours ago | parent [-]

Most of the cost of nuclear is in construction so extending the life of existing nuclear power stations as long as possible makes sense. However new nuclear in Europe has been much more expensive and even France has lost the ability to build new nuclear capacity cheaply.

belorn 9 hours ago | parent | prev | next [-]

You can do the same with a nuclear power plant and calculate how much power it generate and how much green house gases that represent if it was produced by a natural gas-fired power plant. Fuel cost is a thing, but to my knowledge they are fairly minor in terms of greenhouse emissions when compared to burning fossil fuels.

Batteries/storage do not produce energy so they don't displace any energy in this kind of calculations. They can be viewed as a small efficiency increase of existing wind turbines, in which case they do have a form of greenhouse gas payback time, although the energy must not be counted twice for both the turbine and battery, and the increased wear and tear on the wind turbine may impact the result.

Wind generally has an production rate of around 50%, which mean that countries like Denmark that has already reached over 100% wind production still only have energy for half of their consumption. This mean the storage need is fairly massive, which they currently solve by importing energy from fossil fueled thermal power stations, nuclear and hydropower from nearby countries. Constructing more wind power at this point does not seem economical for power companies, and any storage solution like lithium, reverse hydro, and so on are also not economical (as in, there is basically zero investment into it outside of government subsidized initiatives). As such, wind has in that location seem to have reached its ability to displace any more fossil fuel.

delusional 9 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

Because nobody is lobbying to build nuclear power plants instead of windmills because of the lifecycle emissions of the windmill production.

motorest 8 hours ago | parent [-]

It would be laughable to compare nuclear with any alternative based on the cost of externalities.

NooneAtAll3 14 hours ago | parent | prev [-]

so... that estimate should be even shorter, since we're replacing primarily coal stations?

mavhc 11 hours ago | parent [-]

Turns out gas is just as bad as coal when you account for leaks

throwawaymaths 11 hours ago | parent [-]

if you believe the carbon equivalency metrics for methane

virgildotcodes 10 hours ago | parent [-]

Why would you not believe that?

throwawaymaths 8 hours ago | parent [-]

there's a lot of unmeasured assumptions and if you read what is described to the public its usually scientifically wrong. usually it's one of:

- methane has a higher absorption than CO2

incorrect. CO2 has a dipole moment amd c-infinity-v symmetry so it absorbs way more

- methane has higher absorption in open windows of IR frequencies

also incorrect. the water band don't overlap with CO2

- methane has a longer atmospheric half-life

incorrect. you can look up the numbers on this. i believe it was believed to have a longer half life a few decades ago but detailed isotopic studies have disproved it?

you have to dig really deep to figure out that there is I think? an estimated self-shading effect of CO2 that changes the marginal absorbance of a single molecule. but this assumes a uniform distribution of CO2 in the atmosphere and no scattering. anyways i think this is not spoken of because it also reminds that the effect of Co2 is logarthmic (A = log(T))

throwawaymaths an hour ago | parent [-]

example incorrect explanation (from MIT, of all places they should know better):

https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/what-makes-methane-more-pote...