A lot of Kurzweil's predictions are nowhere close to coming correct though.

For example, he thought by 2019 we'd have millions of nanorobots in our blood, fighting disease and improving cognition. As near as I can tell we are not tangibly closer to that than we were when he wrote about it 25 years ago. By 2030, he expected humans to be immortal.

I’m sticking with Kurzweil’s predictions as well, his basic premise of extrapolating from compute scaling has been surprisingly robust.

~2030 is also roughly the Metaculus community consensus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-...