Remix.run Logo
rybosworld 4 months ago

> Even if we don't write code software engineers (or technically minded people) will be able to coordinate hundreds of AI bots better than the average person and manage the systems.

There might be a period of time where product management and qa are still done by people, but I think that period will be transitory and short.

I think software engineers in general are grossly underestimating the probability they will be replaced. On a 20-30 year timeline, that probability might be close to 100%. Probably, it will also be gradual, and those who are displaced (starting with least experienced, to most), will not be able to find similar employment.

We are all more or less opting into this without a fight.

dmix 4 months ago | parent [-]

> We are all more or less opting into this without a fight.

I don’t fear my dev job becoming less valuable as large chunks become automated. Like I said if it happens I will figure out a way to be useful to society in other ways, even if it’s inventing things for AI to do or controlling AI to do the job of a bunch of devs. I will adapt like everyone has in history and make myself valuable in new ways.

“Nothing is static. Everything is evolving. Everything is falling apart.”

rybosworld 4 months ago | parent [-]

> I will adapt like everyone has in history and make myself valuable in new ways.

I think it's naïve to compare automation of the human mind, to that of the human body.

This isn't John Henry vs the Steam Drill.

We're approaching something that will be able to (and already can in some respects) do every single task a human brain can, but faster and cheaper.

I think it's extremely unlikely that software engineers will shift to "AI managers" for any meaningful amount of time. The goal here is to replace the human worker. There might be a period of time where we have AI managers for AI developers but that seems like an unnecessary human abstraction. If an AI is capable for management, and development, it can just be one system, rather than two.