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rented_mule a day ago

At some level, insurance is about spreading out financial risk. Insurance companies would love for every policy to be profitable, but if we let it go that far, it's merely a savings account with negative interest rates. At another level, insurance is about analyzing risk and making it more expensive to take bigger risks. Where do we want the tradeoff between these things? Whatever we choose, we have to have some ability to predict / evaluate risk.

In the face of climate change, places that have been safe for a very long time are becoming unsafe. But I don't see a reason these shifts won't happen over and over as climate change unfolds. It might be worse than mass migrations... migrations to locations which later become dangerous, turning into recurring mass migrations.

How well can we predict where it will be safe in the coming decades and where it won't. Coastal land at or below current sea level (plus storm surge) is fairly predictable, especially where there isn't the population density (and money) to support building sea walls. But with things like rivers changing course (e.g., https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alsek_River), it might become very difficult to predict what's going to be safe down the road. Today we talk about things like 100-year flood plains, but how will we establish flood probabilities when the river that might flood in 10 or 20 years doesn't even exist today?

Are the people who get unlucky with predictions just screwed because their home equity is gone? Or are we going to decide to shoulder the burden together? We're going to find out a lot about humanity, the role of government, etc. as we go through all of this.

snacksmcgee 19 hours ago | parent [-]

Soon, people will realize that the entire economic system that caused climate change in the first place will not save us. Once we stop sacrificing our lives in the name of Almighty Profit, then maybe we can move forward and come up with solutions that aren't just "lol stop living in LA".

gruez 14 hours ago | parent [-]

>Soon, people will realize that the entire economic system that caused climate change in the first place will not save us.

Disagree. "the entire economic system that caused climate change in the first place" is also responsible for the green transition, including cheap electric cars and renewable energy.

>Once we stop sacrificing our lives in the name of Almighty Profit, then maybe we can move forward and come up with solutions that aren't just "lol stop living in LA".

Alright, what's your solution to "the entire economic system that caused climate change in the first place" that aren't just "lol just stop capitalism"?