I claimed no certainty. As I stated above, nothing in war is certain.

Jeffrey Sachs is just some guy. He has no more expertise in this area than I do so you can take whatever opinion you like.

Are you serious? Jeffrey Sachs is not just some guy... I think he's about as qualified in geopolitics as anyone can be.

	▲	nradov 10 months ago \| parent [-]
		Nah. Sachs is just an economist (i.e. a practitioner of pseudoscience). He has no particular expertise in geopolitics. But he speaks with great confidence, which some credulous people mistake for actual expertise.