▲ | ethbr1 8 months ago | ||||||||||||||||||||||
The issue is that space launch has some huge economies of scale. And {world space launch demand} is >> {one country's space launch demand} The argument for China overcoming SpaceX would be: - China needs to get within functional (not cost) technological parity with SpaceX ASAP (i.e. which means reusability, albeit for cadence/capacity reasons) - After that, they need to incentivize global demand to launch on Chinese rockets (likely heavily subsidizing prices to attract demand) - After that, they need to continue to out-innovate SpaceX on technological and economic fronts Of those, convincing a substantial portion of global launch demand to use Chinese rockets seems the trickiest bit, give the CCP's relationship with the rule of law. | |||||||||||||||||||||||
▲ | wmf 8 months ago | parent | next [-] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
I don't think China needs any third-party payloads. Even if they only launch Qianfan it should be enough to bring costs down. | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||
▲ | MaxPock 8 months ago | parent | prev [-] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
"convincing a substantial portion of global launch demand to use Chinese rockets seems the trickiest bit, give the CCP's relationship with the rule of law." Expound more on this please assuming I'm a potential Brazilian South African ,Saudi or Thai client . | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|