This is the kind of longer response that I come to HN to see. (Not intended as an endorsement of the ideas, but appreciation of the approach.)

Wearing one of my hats I see a good analysis of that kind of situation to be a political analysis and not a moral analysis. I think most people are looking for a moral analysis and I don't find people get a lot of satisfaction out of political analysis.

I have access to a lot of public opinion data at work and have a brief spiel about public opinion on transgender issues backed by citations that I've market tested in person with a few people who all hated it precisely because they interpreted my lack of moral judgement as a moral judgement. (pro and anti hated it and don't care hated it because they don't want to hear about it) From my point of view it is deliciously ambiguous and it drives morally oriented people crazy.

I haven't written it up though because I expect to just get trouble out of it and I hate the online discourse (pro and anti) about the subject and don't want to add to it.