He seems pretty good at figuring stuff out.

Like how he figured out how to destroy half the enterprise value of Twitter?

Like how he figured out how to promise full self driving cars in about six months? For eight years running?

Like how he figured out how to cut USAID programs that prevented and treated malaria and tuberculosis with no plan or warning?

There is never going to be a long-term colony on Mars. It is the most childish conceit imaginable.