| ▲ | stackghost 25 days ago | |
Pretty sure the only election that 538 didn't correctly call was 2016. For sure they correctly predicted both Obama wins and Biden. | ||
| ▲ | owisd 25 days ago | parent [-] | |
They don't really 'call' elections since they only publish probabilities. If you'd bet on the candidate 538/Silver was more bullish than the bookies, then the only election year you wouldn't have made money would have been 2024. | ||